The global e-commerce and e-fulfilment sectors are projected to maintain robust growth momentum in 2025, overcoming emerging challenges posed by increased regulatory scrutiny on cross-border parcel shipments.
According to a recent report by Ti Insight, the global e-commerce and e-fulfilment market is forecast to expand by 15.5% this year. This growth is attributed to sustained consumer adoption of online shopping, which continues to outweigh any potential volume declines resulting from tightened parcel import controls.
The report indicates that the market has successfully resumed its upward trajectory following the contraction observed in 2022, which marked the post-pandemic correction phase. In 2024, the market was valued at €521.9 billion (approximately $569 billion)—double the size recorded in 2019, prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. This figure also represents a 13.6% increase compared to 2023 levels.
Paul Chapman, Senior Editor at Ti Insight, stated:
“The continued expansion of the e-commerce logistics and e-fulfilment sector underscores the enduring growth of e-commerce within the global retail landscape. We are now seeing a clear differentiation among logistics providers across regions, as they evolve to meet the specific delivery expectations of both retailers and end-consumers.”
This optimistic outlook for 2025 is underpinned by factors such as revived consumer confidence, advancements in digital infrastructure, and the ongoing shift towards digital commerce.
However, this growth comes amid increased scrutiny by governments—most notably the United States—on cross-border parcel shipments. The sharp increase in international e-commerce volumes in recent years has prompted policymakers to review customs exemptions and enforcement procedures.
Earlier this year, U.S. authorities made an attempt to eliminate the de minimis exemption, which currently allows imports of goods valued under $800 to enter the country tariff-free and with minimal customs inspection. The move was quickly reversed due to an overwhelming surge in parcel volumes that exceeded customs processing capacity. Nevertheless, the exemption is expected to be revisited once adequate processing systems are implemented.
The report notes:
“Although trade and tariff policies—especially under the Trump administration—have created a climate of uncertainty, the e-commerce and e-fulfilment sectors continue to demonstrate resilience. The transformation of consumer buying habits will remain a primary driver for both domestic and cross-border logistics demands.”
From a regional perspective, Asia Pacific continues to grow at a faster pace than its Western counterparts, having posted 11% growth since 2020, compared to 10% in North America and 8% in Europe. However, North America remains the largest market, although Asia Pacific is rapidly narrowing the gap.
In parallel, mergers and acquisitions (M&A) within the e-commerce logistics space are intensifying, as larger logistics groups seek to expand their capabilities by acquiring niche players specializing in fulfilment and last-mile services.
Recent notable acquisitions include:
These developments signal a clear strategy among leading logistics providers to strengthen their e-commerce service portfolios and position themselves for continued long-term growth in a fast-evolving market.
Source: https://www.aircargonews.net/e-commerce-logistics/e-commerce-and-e-fulfilment-market-to-grow-in-2025-despite-obstacles/1079888.article
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