News #76 - IATA: Strong Air Cargo Demand Growth Extends into July

30.08.2024

Total demand, measured in cargo tonne-kilometers (CTKs*), rose by 13.6% compared to July 2023 levels (14.3% for international operations). This is the eighth consecutive month of double-digit year-on-year growth, with overall levels reaching heights not seen since the record peaks of 2021.

Capacity, measured in available cargo tonne-kilometers (ACTKs), increased by 8.3% compared to July 2023 (10.1% for international operations). This was largely related to the growth in international belly capacity, which rose 12.8% on the strength of passenger markets and balancing the 6.9% growth of international freighter capacity. It should be noted that the increase in belly capacity is the lowest in 40 months whereas the growth in freighter capacity is the highest since an exceptional jump was recorded in January 2024.

"Air cargo demand hit record highs year-to-date in July with strong growth across all regions. The air cargo business continues to benefit from growth in global trade, booming e-commerce and capacity constraints on maritime shipping. With the peak season still to come, it is shaping to be a very strong year for air cargo. And airlines have proven adept at navigating political and economic uncertainties to flexibly meet emerging demand trends,” said Willie Walsh, IATA’s Director General.

Several factors in the operating environment should be noted:
 

  • In July, the Purchasing Managers Index (PMIs) for global manufacturing output indicated expansion at 50.2. Meanwhile, the global new export orders PMI continued to hover below the 50-mark at 49.4, a marker for contraction.
  • Industrial production stayed level in July month-on-month and global cross-border trade increased 0.7%.
  • Inflation remained relatively stable in July in the US, Japan, and the EU, with inflation rates of 2.9%, 2.8%, and 2.8%, respectively. Meanwhile, China’s inflation rate increased 0.3 percentage points to 0.6%, the highest level in five months.

Air Cargo Market in Detail

July 2024 (%year-on-year)

World Share *1

CTK

ACTK

CLF (%-pt) *2

CLF (level) *3

Total Market100%14.1%8.8%2.1%45.8%
Africa2.0%11.8%23.8%-4.1%38.5%
Asia Pacific33.3%17.0%10.7%2.7%49.6%
Europe21.4%16.1%9.1%3.0%50.7%
Latin America2.8%13.1%15.5%-0.7%33.6%
Middle East13.5%13.8%6.9%2.9%47.3%
North America26.9%9.5%6.0%1.3%39.8%

(*1) % of industry CTKs in 2023    (*2) Year-on-year change in load factor     (*3) Load factor level

Source: https://www.iata.org/en/pressroom/2024-releases/2024-08-28-01/

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